The Ultimate Fighting Championship will head back to Brazil for the UFC Fight Night 58 card. The event has many intriguing matchups including a headliner featuring Lyoto Machida and C.B. Dollaway.
Here are my UFC Fight Night 58 Predictions:
Lyoto Machida vs. C.B. Dollaway
Machida (21-5-0, 8 KOs) went five grueling rounds with Chris Weidman during his last outing, but it wasn’t enough to earn him a decision. The performance was enough to earn “The Dragon” Fight of the Night honors though, making it three straight outing Machida has earned a performance bonus.
Dollaway (15-5-0, 6 KOs) has had his share of success inside the Octagon lately, with wins against four of his last five opponents. His striking is better than ever, and the same can be said about his wrestling – which has always been his bread and butter.
Unfortunately for him, his style is tailor-made for Machida.
Machida is a well-known wrestler killer, with vicious knockouts victories against tough wrestler like Randy Couture, Rashad Evans, and Ryan Bader while fighting as a light-heavyweight. And he did a good job of stuffing Phil Davis’ takedown attempts when they shared a cage.
It wouldn’t be blasphemous to say every single one of the guys listed above is a better wrestler than Dollaway.
Machida is extremely tough to put on his back, and even harder to keep pinned down when fights hit the mat.
Weidman had lots of success with his wrestling against Machida, but, at this point, it’s clear “The All-American” is a special fighter that will likely hold on to the UFC’s middleweight title for a while.
Dollaway isn’t on the same level. He won’t be able to dominate Machida with his striking, and he likely won’t be able to get his wrestling game going either.
This could go very bad for Dollaway, and I think it will since Machida will be looking to make a strong statement in Brazil against a guy who has already carved out a niche for himself as a Brazilian stopper.
Prediction: Lyoto Machida wins via KO.
Renan Barão vs. Mitch Gagnon
Gagnon (12-2-0, 11 submissions) is a pretty good fighter. He’s capable of locking up a submission and finishing a fight from any position, and his striking skills are way better than advertised. As impressive as Gagnon has been inside the Octagon though, he’ll be in for a serious jump in competition when he faces the former bantamweight champion at UFC Fight Night 58.
Barao’s 32-fight win streak came to an end during his last outing against T.J Dillashaw, and he’ll be motivated to bounce back to the winning side of things with a win in Brazil.
Barão (32-2-0, 14 submissions) has effortlessly stopped better wrestlers than Gagnon from taking him down in the past, so he shouldn’t have any problems forcing a standup battle. He’s the more technical, more powerful, and more explosive striker. Gagnon will likely have a hard time dealing with all that for 15 minutes.
Gagnon’s best bet would be to get the fight to the ground, which he probably won’t be able to do. And if he miraculously does, Barão knows a lot about Brazilian Jiu Jitsu as well. Most would say more than Bryan Caraway who tapped out Gagnon a couple of years ago.
Prediction: Renan Barão wins via TKO.
Remaining UFC Fight Night 58 Predictions:
Patrick Cummins defeats Antônio Carlos Júnior
Elias Silverio defeats Rashid Magomedov
Erick Silva defeats Mike Rhodes
Marcos Rogério de Lima defeats Igor Pokrajac
Darren Elkins defeats Hacran Dias
Yuta Sasaki defeats Leandro Issa
Tim Means defeats Márcio Alexandre
Vitor Miranda defeats Jake Collier
David is a Brazilian Jiu Jitsu and boxing practitioner who has watched and studied MMA for the past 9 years. Send him your questions @davidkingwriter.
Don’t forget to check out my UFC Fight Night 58 Predictions FightPicks shortly before the prelims start. Up +17.94 units so far this year.