On Sept. 5, the Ultimate Fighting Championship will head to the Foxwoods Resort Casino in Ledyard, Conn. for the UFC Fight Night 50 card, and boy is this a stacked event. It’s filled with lots of intriguing matchups from top to bottom, and it’s all available for free on Fox Sports 1. It should be one of the promotion’s better cards when it’s all said and done.
Here are my UFC Fight Night 50 predictions.
Ronaldo Souza vs. Gegard Mousasi
Souza (20-3-0, 14 submissions) is yet to taste defeat since joining the Ultimate Fighting Championship’s roster, and he’ll be looking to add another respected name to his list of victims when he squares off against Mousasi (35-4-2, 18 KOs). Gegard is coming off an impressive victory against Mark Munoz, but Jacare is a completely different animal.
The Brazilian, who has evolved into a solid striker, is arguably the best BJJ specialist in the UFC, and Mousasi’s takedown defense has always been somewhat suspect. King Mo took him down 11 times during their 2010 tilt, and Keith Jardine, who most MMA fans would describe as a striker, took him down six times during their three-rounder.
Mousasi knocked Jacare out early on during their 2008 tilt, but a lot has changed since then.
I expect Jacare to ragdoll Mousasi at UFC Fight Night 50.
Prediction: Souza wins by submission.
Alistair Overeem vs. Ben Rothwell
Overeem (37-13-0, 19 submissions) restarted his journey towards title contention with a dominant performance against Frank Mir during his last outing, while Rothwell (33-9-0, 19 KOs) pulled off a come-from-behind victory against Brandon Vera during his. Unfortunately, for Rothwell, he tested positive for elevated testosterone levels afterwards.
On paper, the matchup clearly favors Overeem based on the fact he’s a considerably better striker. However, it seems to only take one nice shot to put Overeem away these days. Alistair was very composed during his last fight, and with Greg Jackson in his corner now, I expect him to follow a safe gameplan that significantly reduces the odds of him getting caught with a big shot. Like Travis Browne and Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva were able to do during their tilts with “The Reem,” even though Overeem pretty much dominated every single second of those fights before his chin failed him.
Prediction: Overeem wins via TKO.
Matt Mitrione vs. Derrick Lewis
Mitrione (7-3-0, 6 KOs) is a capable heavyweight on a good day, but he’ll need a lot more than that to get past Lewis (11-2-0, 10 KOs) at UFC Fight Night 50. Lewis is the technically superior striker and grappler, and the guy is also freakishly big and strong. Trust me boys and girls, this guy’s nickname is “The Black Beast” for a reason.
Prediction: Lewis wins via mauling… I mean TKO.
Joe Lauzon vs. Michael Chiesa
A win against Lauzon (23-9-0, 18 submissions) is a good way to tell if an up and comer is ready for the top echelon fighters in the Ultimate Fighting Championship’s lightweight division, and Chiesa (11-1-0, 8 submissions) seems to have all the tools needed to get that done.
Lauzon might have the advantage standing up, but Cheisa should be able to dominate Lauzon where he’s the most dangerous, the ground. I expect to Cheisa to smother Lauzon with his aggressive grappling and possibly lock something up.
Prediction: Cheisa wins by decision.
Remaining UFC Fight Night 50 predictions:
Nik Lentz defeats Charles Oliveira
Justin Scoggins defeats John Moraga
Al Iaquinta defeats Rodrigo Damm
Rafael Natal defeats Chris Camozzi
Chris Beal defeats Dustin Kimura
Andre Fili defeats Sean Soriano
David is a Brazilian Jiu Jitsu and boxing practitioner who has watched and studied MMA for the past 9 years. Send him your questions @davidkingwriter.
Don’t forget to check out my UFC Fight Night 50 FightPicks shortly before the prelims start. Up +20.61 units so far this year. Thanks to all those who paid tribute after the record setting UFC Fight Night 40 picks that earned + 12.71 units.