The Ultimate Fighting Championship will head back to the Mandalay Events Center in Las Vegas for the highly anticipated UFC 175 card. The July 5 event will be headlined by middleweight champion Chris Weidman and Lyoto Machida, while Ronda Rousey takes on Alexis Davis in the co-main event.
Here are my UFC 175 predictions:
Chris Weidman (c) vs. Lyoto Machida (middleweight title fight)
A year after Weidman (11-0-0, 5 KOs) defeated Anderson Silva at UFC 162 – the Brazilian’s first loss inside the Octagon – “The All-American” will take on another tough contender. Machida (21-4-0, 8 KOs) has been on a tear ever since he dropped down to the UFC’s middleweight division, roughing up Mark Munoz and Gegard Mousasi.
Weidman has all the tools needed to win this UFC 175 fight if he’s able to consistently put Machida on his back, but taking Lyoto down is a lot easier said than done. Lyoto’s takedown defense is as good as it gets in MMA, and he’s excellent at catching opponents with hard shots while defending. Better wrestlers than Weidman have failed to score a single takedown against Machida during fights.
That means a majority of this 5-rounder will likely be spent standing up. At this point in his MMA career, Weidman has proven his striking shouldn’t be underestimated, but he’s a long way away from Machida’s technical expertise.
I expect a close, competitive fight, but at the end of the day, Machida is the worst possible matchup out there for Weidman right now. More than likely, Weidman’s run as the Ultimate Fighting Championship’s middleweight comes to an end at UFC 175.
Prediction: Machida wins via KO.
Ronda Rousey (c) vs. Alexis Davis (Women’s bantamweight title fight)
The face of Women’s MMA, Ronda Rousey (9-0-0, 8 submissions), will step inside the Octagon once again at UFC 175. Her challenger Alexis Davis (16-5-0, 7 submissions) isn’t intimidated by Ronda’s accomplishments inside cage though. Davis is currently on a five-fight win streak, and she’s also undefeated inside the Octagon. Davis is the technically superior striker, and she seems to have the tougher chin as well.
Unfortunately, for her, it’s highly unlikely she’ll be able to stop Rousey’s throws, meaning another armbar finish for Rousey is highly probable.
Prediction: Rousey wins via submission.
Urijah Faber vs. Alex Caceres
The headliner of the UFC 175 preliminary card, expect fireworks when these two collide. Caceres (10-5-0, 5 submissions) put on the best performance of his professional MMA career during his last outing against Sergio Pettis, a fight during which he displayed his improved striking skills.
I expect him to get the better of the striking exchanges at UFC 175.
However, Faber (30-7-0, 17 submissions) is no punk. The former WEC featherweight champion is a solid striker himself, and he’ll enjoy a significant grappling advantage. Caceres is a live underdog given the fact he can catch Faber with one of his unorthodox strikes and follow up with the finish at any moment during the bout, but this is certainly Urijah’s fight to lose.
Prediction: Faber wins via submission.
Remaining UFC 175 predictions:
Matt Mitrione defeats Stefan Struve
Uriah Hall defeats Thiago Santos
Marcus Brimage defeats Russell Doane
Ildemar Alcantara defeats Kenny Robertson
Chris Camozzi defeats Bruno Santos
George Roop defeats Rob Font
Luke Zachrich defeats Guilherme Vasconcelos
Kevin Casey defeats Bubba Bush
David is a Brazilian Jiu Jitsu and boxing practitioner who has watched and studied MMA for the past 9 years. Send him your questions @davidkingwriter.
Don’t forget to check out my UFC 175 FightPicks after weigh-ins. Up +20.61 units so far this year. Thanks to all those who paid tribute after the record setting UFC Fight Night 40 picks that earned + 12.71 units.